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Red119
13144.9
164623.2
225251.3
Blue117
15536.5
445143.3
285138.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11810450150200119117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.1
46.847.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
4451
#42
43.30.5
37.437.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
#36
44.90.1
44.044.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2851
#63
38.00.5
35.836.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#37
23.20.1
25.425.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
155
#44
36.50.5
33.033.6
Auto
Teleop
End