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Red171
167655.3
19556.6
12852.7
Blue180
164047.5
347663.6
30357.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165160120140180200220171180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#35
56.60.1
56.456.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
3476
#18
63.60.3
61.361.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
#14
55.30.1
55.155.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
303
#3
57.10.3
54.755.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
128
#2
52.70.1
52.552.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1640
#24
47.50.3
45.145.4
Auto
Teleop
End