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Red116
13140.2
5821.6
13823.7
Blue70
17528.9
17223.9
6124.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87672040608010012014011670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#5
40.20.6
39.740.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
175
#25
28.90.0
26.426.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
138
#2
23.70.6
23.323.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
61
#10
24.90.0
22.422.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
58
#20
21.60.6
21.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
172
#18
23.90.0
21.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End