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Red86
13140.2
88532.9
12478.8
Blue62
17223.9
454613.7
192219.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574501001502002503008662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#5
40.22.5
30.633.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
172
#18
23.91.3
15.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
885
#4
32.92.5
16.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
1922
#28
19.71.3
23.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1247
#32
8.82.5
8.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4546
#21
13.71.3
8.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End