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Red20
8116.6
346717.1
127724.3
Blue32
31912.8
50910.0
115316.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413102060801001201402032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#23
24.31.6
16.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1153
#26
16.60.1
12.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3467
#34
17.11.6
11.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
319
#42
12.80.1
8.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
811
#45
6.61.6
11.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
509
#22
10.00.1
11.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End