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Red33
192219.7
35855.5
151220.4
Blue25
183111.9
279117.5
13077.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473501001503325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.0
15.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2791
#12
17.51.0
19.318.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1922
#28
19.71.0
24.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1831
#29
11.91.0
12.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3585
#39
5.51.0
5.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1307
#41
7.01.0
5.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End