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Red54
31912.8
6124.9
88532.9
Blue82
183111.9
7823.9
199130.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496301001502005482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#4
32.90.2
20.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
30.81.8
27.128.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61
#10
24.90.2
21.521.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
78
#14
23.91.8
22.424.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
319
#42
12.80.2
8.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1831
#29
11.91.8
11.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End