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Red83
959.9
412431.2
16614.2
Blue9
17294.9
8116.6
23429.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44290206080100120140160839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4124
#17
31.23.4
18.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
2342
#44
9.01.9
11.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
#37
14.23.4
12.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
811
#45
6.61.9
9.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
95
#40
9.93.4
10.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1729
#43
4.91.9
10.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End