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Red51
35855.5
115316.6
5821.6
Blue66
19736.1
412431.2
454613.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4343102030506070805166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#20
21.60.6
21.522.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
4124
#17
31.21.8
24.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
#26
16.60.6
15.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4546
#21
13.71.8
13.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3585
#39
5.50.6
5.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1973
#16
6.11.8
5.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End