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Red108
61050.7
412431.2
360925.7
Blue81
88532.9
13320.1
151933.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102815015020010881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
50.70.2
47.747.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
33.50.1
32.832.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4124
#17
31.20.2
28.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
885
#4
32.90.1
32.232.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3609
#19
25.70.2
22.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
133
#35
20.10.1
19.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End