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Red80
164044.5
22247.3
2717.2
Blue82
162638.5
127936.7
114319.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100964060801201401608082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
47.30.3
47.447.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1626
Unranked
38.50.2
39.038.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1640
Unranked
44.50.3
44.644.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1279
Unranked
36.70.2
37.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
271
Unranked
7.20.3
7.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
1143
Unranked
19.80.2
20.220.0
Auto
Teleop
End