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Red82
447515.7
181121.1
260740.9
Blue14
40357.3
89615.9
6136.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5720040801001201408214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.5
26.127.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.0
896
#24
15.90.6
9.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1811
#25
21.11.5
14.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
4035
#31
7.30.6
8.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4475
#12
15.71.5
10.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
613
#39
6.80.6
7.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End