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Red60
127937.7
75213.4
41288.7
Blue83
122837.5
334018.5
447515.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4562020801001201406083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#13
37.70.6
29.830.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1228
#15
37.51.2
30.531.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
752
#36
13.40.6
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
3340
#23
18.51.2
16.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4128
#28
8.70.6
8.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
4475
#12
15.71.2
12.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End