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Red126
35153.2
122837.5
127937.7
Blue153
162639.9
89615.9
1159.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59108050100150126153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#13
37.73.0
33.436.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
11
#4
59.32.6
56.359.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1228
#15
37.53.0
32.635.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
39.92.6
33.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3515
#38
3.23.0
1.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
896
#24
15.92.6
10.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End