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Red97
89615.9
22422.2
122837.5
Blue115
19330.7
12574.6
167652.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65800204010012014016097115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#15
37.51.5
35.537.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
52.21.9
49.951.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
#19
22.21.5
18.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
193
#20
30.71.9
23.825.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
896
#24
15.91.5
13.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1257
#42
4.61.9
3.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End