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Red138
139131.5
30342.0
334018.5
Blue105
162639.9
181121.1
428115.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936350150138105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#7
42.02.5
41.043.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
39.91.9
35.737.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1391
#10
31.52.5
28.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1811
#25
21.11.9
19.221.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3340
#23
18.52.5
17.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4281
#27
15.11.9
12.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End