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Red52
7527.1
445411.0
181121.1
Blue58
447515.7
19899.5
363713.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66290204060801001205258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#17
27.10.4
27.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
4475
#12
15.71.2
14.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1811
#25
21.10.4
21.220.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3637
#26
13.01.2
11.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4454
#32
11.00.4
11.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1989
#34
9.51.2
8.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End