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Red110
22319.2
428535.2
137029.0
Blue134
19330.7
260740.9
436117.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8186050100150200110134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.5
34.835.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
40.90.8
39.440.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1370
#14
29.00.5
28.529.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
193
#20
30.70.8
29.230.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
223
#16
19.20.5
18.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4361
#21
17.70.8
16.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End