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Red62
22420.0
29335.2
475010.8
Blue2
260010.5
188112.7
35153.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4833020406080100120622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#5
35.21.4
15.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
1881
#33
12.72.8
7.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
#17
20.01.4
16.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
2600
#22
10.52.8
17.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4750
#21
10.81.4
12.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3515
#37
3.42.8
10.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End