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Red30
114317.4
24955.2
12576.4
Blue0
219110.6
6135.5
36377.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37250102030506070300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#11
17.40.2
18.017.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2191
#30
10.62.2
8.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1257
#25
6.40.4
7.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3637
#28
7.02.2
9.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2495
#36
5.20.4
9.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
613
#23
5.52.2
8.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End