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Red133
22239.2
1153.1
334013.8
Blue123
167639.4
71415.1
331429.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107750100150200133123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#2
53.10.5
52.653.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
39.40.7
38.839.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
222
#1
39.20.5
38.839.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
3314
#10
29.90.7
29.229.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3340
#25
13.80.5
13.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
714
#27
15.10.7
14.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End