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Red32
465310.8
188116.6
43615.0
Blue80
245812.9
22239.2
13613.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27500204060801003280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1881
#16
16.60.1
12.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.6
222
#1
39.21.7
23.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4653
#34
10.80.1
9.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
136
#11
13.81.7
11.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4361
#23
5.00.1
8.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
2458
#24
12.92.8
11.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End