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Red5
20705.1
46502.1
392913.3
Blue17
26006.9
25778.8
245812.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19350406080100517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3929
#22
13.30.8
13.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2458
#24
12.91.3
14.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2070
#33
5.11.4
3.72.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2577
#15
8.81.3
7.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4650
#35
2.11.4
4.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2600
#29
6.90.8
10.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End