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Red13
19895.6
55517.7
465310.8
Blue56
31427.1
21918.4
136720.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3635102030405060701356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#12
17.71.9
15.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
20.91.0
15.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4653
#34
10.81.1
8.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
219
#3
18.41.0
13.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1989
#26
5.61.9
11.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3142
#30
7.11.0
6.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End