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Red21
245812.9
43615.0
55517.7
Blue17
26006.9
19895.6
188116.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35341020304050602117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#12
17.70.9
17.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1881
#16
16.60.9
18.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2458
#24
12.90.9
14.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
2600
#29
6.90.9
7.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4361
#23
5.00.9
3.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1989
#26
5.61.2
8.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End