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Red15
26006.9
7519.7
19314.9
Blue6
31427.1
25778.8
465310.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38270206080100156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#6
19.71.7
15.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
4653
#34
10.81.1
9.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
193
#5
14.91.7
11.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2577
#15
8.81.9
10.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2600
#29
6.91.0
9.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3142
#30
7.11.1
8.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End