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Red126
1153.1
22239.2
334013.8
Blue62
136720.9
392913.3
7519.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11542010015020012662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#2
53.10.4
52.152.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.1
20.90.1
20.820.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
222
#1
39.20.4
38.238.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
75
#6
19.70.1
19.619.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3340
#25
13.80.4
12.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3929
#22
13.30.1
13.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End