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Red34
171217.7
463715.1
140335.1
Blue59
127925.5
360712.1
457529.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635502040801001203459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#17
35.11.4
34.333.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
4575
#11
29.00.1
26.126.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#27
17.71.4
13.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1279
#16
25.50.1
21.721.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4637
#30
15.11.4
13.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3607
#28
12.10.2
8.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End