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Red129
20419.1
219114.8
22558.5
Blue65
272946.9
316711.5
255926.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817305010015020012965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
58.52.4
51.253.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
46.90.5
43.042.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
#24
19.12.4
16.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
26.10.5
21.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2191
#25
14.82.4
12.615.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3167
#31
11.50.5
10.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End