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Red89
475011.1
164731.5
81630.6
Blue81
316711.5
315113.2
29341.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775101001508981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.8
34.835.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
293
#1
41.11.3
39.040.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
816
#13
30.60.8
26.827.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
13.21.3
6.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4750
#26
11.10.8
11.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3167
#31
11.51.3
9.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End