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Red193
164731.5
272946.9
192322.9
Blue82
108924.8
171217.7
116826.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7244010015019382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.96.9
31.638.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
1168
#22
26.71.7
25.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
31.56.3
20.126.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1089
#10
24.81.7
11.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1923
#12
22.96.3
16.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1712
#27
17.71.7
11.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End