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Red58
316711.5
3218.6
162631.3
Blue59
108924.8
360712.1
249515.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46490204060801001205859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#19
31.30.7
29.330.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1089
#10
24.80.5
26.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3167
#31
11.50.6
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2495
#14
15.30.5
11.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
321
#29
8.60.6
7.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3607
#28
12.10.7
11.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End