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Red131
324534.0
427615.1
171763.6
Blue119
240334.0
59720.6
98773.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108132050150200250131119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.3
63.363.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
987
#8
73.60.2
73.773.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34.00.3
33.634.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
34.00.2
34.134.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4276
#27
15.10.3
14.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
597
#45
20.60.2
20.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End