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Red78
240334.0
436610.6
396527.5
Blue59
33033.4
284424.3
440312.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55572040801007859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.1
20.821.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
330
#15
33.40.2
26.827.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3965
#10
27.51.1
25.326.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
24.30.2
18.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4366
#39
10.61.8
10.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4403
#44
12.90.3
10.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End