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Red20
178014.7
480017.4
237512.4
Blue40
324534.0
479215.0
347320.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326302040801001201401602040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4800
#14
17.41.4
16.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
34.00.9
25.624.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1780
#20
14.71.4
11.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
3473
#11
20.50.9
19.718.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2375
#21
12.40.8
8.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4792
#13
15.01.5
12.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End