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Red25
473512.4
40369.1
47825.8
Blue32
17034.3
396527.5
312012.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284002060801002532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4735
#33
12.40.4
9.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
3965
#10
27.50.3
26.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4036
#42
9.10.4
11.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
3120
#22
12.80.3
6.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4782
#46
5.80.4
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1703
#40
4.30.5
5.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End