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Red90
284424.3
301114.0
330932.9
Blue70
233927.6
178014.7
418325.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604901001509070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.6
26.628.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2339
#17
27.60.9
17.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.31.6
21.322.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
4183
#12
25.50.9
19.820.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3011
#19
14.01.6
10.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1780
#20
14.71.6
13.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End