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Red100
16612.5
298441.5
240334.0
Blue50
436610.6
473512.4
2526.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7047020608010012014016010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.7
38.840.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
25
#26
26.50.0
25.625.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34.01.7
25.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
4735
#33
12.40.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1661
#38
2.51.7
1.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
4366
#39
10.60.0
14.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End