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Red40
59720.6
163111.8
233927.6
Blue41
284424.3
16612.5
301918.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66390501001504041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#17
27.61.1
27.126.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
24.30.1
23.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
597
#45
20.61.1
21.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3019
#23
18.50.1
17.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1631
#41
11.81.3
13.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1661
#38
2.50.1
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End