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Red80
362425.3
60113.4
146828.9
Blue58
35828.6
21615.4
53320.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5534020801001201408058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.92.3
18.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
358
#12
28.61.5
14.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3624
#20
25.32.0
24.026.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
533
#30
20.81.3
12.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
601
#26
13.42.3
9.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
2161
#45
5.41.7
9.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End