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Red31
35327.9
60113.4
155413.3
Blue65
445822.7
400612.9
81013.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6042020801001201403165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#1
27.91.3
27.125.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
4458
#22
22.71.3
20.822.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
601
#26
13.41.8
15.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
810
#38
13.61.0
12.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1554
#33
13.31.8
15.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4006
#29
12.91.3
11.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End