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Red82
457118.0
341918.8
305921.2
Blue100
412215.3
166019.7
317114.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5844010015082100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.6
20.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1660
#26
19.71.4
18.419.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3419
#30
18.80.6
18.218.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
4122
#41
15.31.3
14.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
18.00.6
17.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
14.71.3
13.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End