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Red41
36920.2
51420.9
18806.8
Blue44
317114.7
479718.2
25794.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433002060804144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
#28
20.90.0
14.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
4797
#12
18.28.6
19.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
#49
20.20.0
17.117.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
14.71.0
11.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1880
#37
6.80.0
9.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2579
#22
4.61.0
10.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End