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Red35
46849.5
479718.2
51420.9
Blue25
341918.8
42634.4
43837.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343101020405060703525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
#28
20.90.2
14.214.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3419
#30
18.80.7
17.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4797
#12
18.20.2
10.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
4383
#20
7.20.7
7.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4684
#33
9.50.2
7.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
4263
#53
4.40.7
7.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End