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Red31
163523.3
260114.3
47132.2
Blue0
160011.2
4218.1
88412.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35310102040506070310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.3
14.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
884
#21
12.92.6
11.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2601
#10
14.30.3
9.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1600
#32
11.22.6
9.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4713
#63
2.26.0
3.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
421
#35
8.12.6
9.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End