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Red24
13969.7
305312.4
479718.2
Blue30
305921.2
25794.6
4218.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292801020405060702430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4797
#12
18.20.4
13.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
21.20.1
10.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3053
#55
12.40.4
8.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
421
#35
8.10.1
10.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1396
#56
9.70.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
2579
#22
4.60.1
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End