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Red20
9994.3
138215.3
77117.0
Blue18
18806.8
45281.4
419111.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4125060801001202018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
771
#4
17.01.5
19.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
4191
#16
11.80.8
14.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1382
#17
15.31.5
11.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1880
#37
6.80.8
7.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#13
4.31.5
7.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4528
#42
1.40.8
5.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End