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Red10
13969.7
37520.7
46849.5
Blue20
37605.2
23711.6
412215.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31410501001501020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
#25
20.71.8
14.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4122
#41
15.31.6
13.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1396
#56
9.71.8
8.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
237
#47
11.61.6
16.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4684
#33
9.51.8
9.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
3760
#29
5.21.6
9.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End