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Red49
163523.3
179613.1
138215.3
Blue30
33148.5
36920.2
134016.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474402060801004930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.2
21.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
369
#49
20.21.2
19.718.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1382
#17
15.30.2
10.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1340
#31
16.01.2
15.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1796
#38
13.10.2
14.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
3314
#43
8.51.2
9.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End