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Red112
37817.8
25028.8
317332.0
Blue76
77221.3
383819.5
420314.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8448010015020011276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.7
31.932.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
772
#11
21.30.5
20.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
#3
28.80.7
28.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
3838
#14
19.50.5
19.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
378
#27
17.80.7
17.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4203
#10
14.10.5
13.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End